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Aldo Spanjer, Commodity Strategist of BNP Paribas: It is estimated that the average price of Brent crude oil will be 71 USD/barrel in 2026.The won fell more than 0.5% on Monday, approaching the bottom of 1444 won in recent days. On Monday (December 9), the won finally fell by 0.54% against the US dollar to 1430.64 won, and the intraday trading range was 1425.04-1438.42 won, continuing to approach the 1444.09 won that fell on December 3 ("curfew farce night"). On Monday, South Korea's Ministry of Justice banned President Yin Xiyue from leaving the country. The ruling party of the president set up a working group to stabilize the situation, and the prosecution applied for an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian. South Korea's main opposition party sought to pass the budget and related bills on Tuesday.According to the Austrian news agency, Austria will not object to Romania and Bulgaria becoming full members of the Schengen Free Travel Zone at the meeting of EU interior ministers on Thursday.

Xinhua Viewpoint: "Changing the expression of monetary policy from' prudent' to' moderately loose' means that China continues to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance. In the early morning of December 10th, Xinhuanet published an article" Xinhua Viewpoint: Looking at the New Trends of Economic Work in 2025 from Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party ",pointing out that at present, China's development is facing many uncertainties and challenges. To do a good job in economic work next year, we must strengthen our confidence in winning. Further comprehensively deepen reform, open wider to the outside world at a high level, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand and stabilize the property market and stock market ... Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has made a series of important arrangements for economic work next year. The expression "moderately loose monetary policy" at the meeting attracted people's attention. "The expression of monetary policy has changed from' steady' to' moderately loose', which means that China will continue to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance, maintain a reasonable and abundant liquidity, further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents, and create a good monetary and financial environment for promoting sustained economic recovery." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, said that it was more than 10 years before China's monetary policy was "moderately loose". Judging from the actual operation, monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation. Since the beginning of this year, the market generally feels that China's monetary policy has been in a stable and slightly loose state.The S&P 500 index fell by 0.5%, the telecom sector fell by about 1.3%, and the S&P fell by 0.5% in 500 days to 6059.70 points. Standard & Poor's telecommunications sector fell by 1.27%, financial sector fell by 0.91%, industrial sector fell by 0.87%, technology sector fell by 0.6%, raw materials sector rose by 0.9%, and energy sector rose by 1.07%. At present, the volatility of the panic index VIX has increased by 10.0% to 14.06.The EU called on all parties concerned in Syria to ensure an orderly, peaceful and inclusive transition. On the 9th local time, the EU issued a statement on the situation in Syria, saying that all parties concerned should avoid further violent incidents. The EU stated that it is more necessary than ever for all stakeholders to have an inclusive and Syrian-led dialogue on key issues to ensure an orderly, peaceful and inclusive transition. The EU urges all parties concerned to ensure that Syrian civilians are protected and abide by international law, and to ensure the safety of foreign citizens in Syria and diplomatic missions in Damascus. (CCTV)

Fitch: Latin American sovereign countries are facing a new test from American policy risks. The outlook for the sovereign rating of Latin American countries in 2025 is "neutral". It is estimated that most Latin American countries will carry out fiscal consolidation in 2025, but the intensity will be lower than the fiscal rules and budget targets.The random shooting incident in Damascus, the capital of Syria, has killed 28 people. It was learned on the 9th local time that the random shooting incident in Damascus, the capital of Syria, the previous day had killed 28 people. (CCTV)Fitch: Latin American sovereign countries are facing a new test from American policy risks. The outlook for the sovereign rating of Latin American countries in 2025 is "neutral". It is estimated that most Latin American countries will carry out fiscal consolidation in 2025, but the intensity will be lower than the fiscal rules and budget targets.